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Europa League | Final
May 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Aviva Stadium
LL

Atalanta
3 - 0
B. Leverkusen

Lookman (12', 26', 75')
Djimsiti (22'), Scamacca (35'), Zappacosta (60'), Koopmeiners (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wirtz (35'), Tapsoba (67'), Andrich (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.86% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 24.92% (0.0039999999999978 0) 47.21% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)48.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)70.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)53.01% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 27.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 47.2%
    Draw 24.91%
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Marseille
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Atalanta
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Roma 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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