Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
0.86) 
-0.14) 
