SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Molde |
34.22% ( -0.52) | 22.62% ( 0.15) | 43.16% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.91) | 34.52% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.55% ( -1.03) | 56.45% ( 1.03) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -0.68) | 20.63% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( -1.08) | 53.18% ( 1.08) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.22) | 16.64% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.52% ( -0.4) | 46.48% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.93% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.53% Total : 43.16% |
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