SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Backa Topola |
74.08% ( 0.05) | 15.74% ( -0.01) | 10.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.05) | 35.15% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.05) | 57.16% ( 0.06) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.9% ( 0) | 8.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.55% ( -0) | 28.45% ( 0.01) |
| Backa Topola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( -0.09) | 43.77% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.07% ( -0.08) | 79.93% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Backa Topola |
| 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 74.07% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.93% 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 10.19% |
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