Roma have recently been dominant on home soil, winning five games on the spin as hosts before drawing with Fiorentina last time out. With some high-calibre options among his fringe players, Jose Mourinho can still send out a side that sees off Sheriff - but a win for Group G leaders Slavia Prague may still consign them to the playoffs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
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