SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
75.67% ( 0.02) | 16.03% | 8.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.06) | 43.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.07) | 65.42% ( 0.07) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% ( -0.01) | 9.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.76% ( -0.03) | 32.24% ( 0.03) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.84% ( -0.09) | 53.16% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.25% ( -0.06) | 86.75% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.05% Total : 75.66% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.03% | 0-1 @ 3.25% 1-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.3% |
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