SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
28.76% ( -0.04) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 46.82% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( 0.22) | 45.58% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( 0.21) | 67.9% ( -0.21) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( 0.08) | 29.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( 0.1) | 65.3% ( -0.1) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.13) | 19.57% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( 0.21) | 51.49% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
