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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
40.64% ( -0.18) | 24.11% ( 0.06) | 35.24% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( -0.27) | 41.66% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( -0.27) | 64.06% ( 0.27) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.2) | 20.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.74% ( -0.31) | 53.25% ( 0.31) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( -0.06) | 23.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( -0.08) | 57.36% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.24% |
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