Despite their recent poor form, Bristol City have proven this season that they can match the bigger teams at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors may prove too difficult to stop, the end result potentially being a late win for Farke's side.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
0.02) 
-0) 
