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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 4
Juarez

Morales (20'), Volpi (70' pen.)
Volpi (28'), Ruiz (35')
Araujo (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Urzi (18'), Saucedo (64'), Escoto (77'), Garcia (90+6')
Chavez (45+6'), Saucedo (50'), Pasquel Colin (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX

We said: Toluca 2-1 Juarez

Both sides will have confidence and will be keen to extend positive starts, and we see the hosts having enough in their ranks to just get over the line in a tough contest against a resilient Juarez outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawJuarez
61.56% (0.499 0.5) 21.51% (-0.163 -0.16) 16.94% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.144 0.14)46.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.135 0.13)68.33% (-0.13 -0.13)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.208 0.21)14.43% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.64% (0.392 0.39)42.36% (-0.387 -0.39)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (-0.32 -0.32)40.54% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (-0.29 -0.29)77.15% (0.294 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 61.55%
    Juarez 16.94%
    Draw 21.51%
TolucaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Toluca
Friday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-2 Juarez
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-1 America
Saturday, April 29 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Juarez
Friday, April 14 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Atlas
Monday, April 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX


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