The Monaco backline seems to be getting healthier, while Ajaccio have not given their fans much to cheer about in the attack throughout the campaign.
Les Monegasques have been more organised and compact away from home, and we expect them to be on the front foot against the Corsicans, who have not created many scoring opportunities at Stade Francois Coty.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
-0.04) 
0.06) 
