SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
36.34% ( -0.16) | 24.79% ( -0) | 38.86% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0) | 44.74% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0) | 67.1% ( -0) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.08) | 24.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.12) | 58.54% ( 0.12) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.08) | 22.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.12) | 56.62% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Marseille |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.86% |
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