SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
58.97% ( -0.42) | 21.72% ( 0.04) | 19.3% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.4) | 43.18% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( 0.4) | 65.58% ( -0.4) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 0) | 14.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( 0) | 42.12% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( 0.64) | 36.16% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( 0.65) | 72.94% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.3% |
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