Nice have been excellent so far and are proving to be a frustrating side to come up against, but their previous two performances were not wholly convincing, and they must find another gear against better opposition here.
Marseille simply do not win away, and that is unlikely to change against one of the league's most in-form sides, but they may well have enough to claim a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nice in this match.
1.08) 
-0.25) 
