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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
P

Maritimo
0 - 2
Porto


Val (6'), Moreno (13'), Pereira (36'), de Lacerda (64'), Costa (66')
Moreno (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wendell (50'), Galeno (55')
Folha (7'), Conceicao (7'), Sanusi (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Maritimo 0-3 Porto

Off the back of an unprecedented Taca da Liga victory, Porto will head into Wednesday with sky-high confidence as they look to continue their rise to the top of the table. At the opposite end of the table is a Maritimo side who appear to have hit their stride after a disappointing first half of the season. While we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Maritimo, Porto possesses the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will come away with a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
MaritimoDrawPorto
9.17% (0.0030999999999999 0) 18.08% (0.179 0.18) 72.75% (-0.17800000000001 -0.18)
Both teams to score 39.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-0.733 -0.73)49.19% (0.736 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.664 -0.66)71.25% (0.667 0.67)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.82% (-0.461 -0.46)55.18% (0.465 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.01% (-0.275 -0.28)87.99% (0.28 0.28)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)12.09% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (-0.549 -0.55)37.64% (0.553 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 9.17%
    Porto 72.74%
    Draw 18.08%
MaritimoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.97% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.18% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 9.17%
1-1 @ 8.38% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 18.08%
0-2 @ 14.89% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 14.09% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 5.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-5 @ 2.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 72.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Maritimo
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Viseu
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Saturday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Porto
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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