SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
46.35% ( 0.14) | 25.07% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( 0.04) | 48.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.03) | 70.63% ( -0.04) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( 0.07) | 20.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( 0.12) | 53.71% ( -0.13) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -0.07) | 30.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( -0.08) | 67.26% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.58% |
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