St Mirren may have got the better of Motherwell in last month's Scottish League Cup fixture, but home advantage was in their favour on that occasion.
This time around, Motherwell will be cheered on by the home support, and after winning their last seven competitive matches at Fir Park, we think that the hosts will continue that winning streak by collecting a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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