SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
39.87% ( 0.14) | 25.21% ( 0.02) | 34.91% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.14) | 46.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.13) | 69.08% ( 0.13) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( 0.01) | 23.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( 0.01) | 57.22% ( -0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.01% ( -0.16) | 25.98% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.99% ( -0.21) | 61% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.91% |
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