SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
40.87% ( -0.07) | 25.85% ( 0.02) | 33.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.04% ( -0.08) | 49.96% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( -0.07) | 71.94% ( 0.06) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.07) | 24.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( -0.1) | 58.5% ( 0.1) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( -0.01) | 28.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.74% ( -0.01) | 64.26% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.87% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.28% |
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