SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for St Mirren.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
47.43% ( -0.03) | 25.15% ( 0.02) | 27.43% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.07) | 49.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.06) | 71.57% ( 0.06) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( -0.07) | 53.64% ( 0.07) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.03) | 32.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( -0.03) | 68.88% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 27.43% |
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