SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
42.55% ( 0.11) | 26.65% ( -0.11) | 30.8% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.03% ( 0.42) | 53.97% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( 0.35) | 75.41% ( -0.35) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( 0.25) | 25.11% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.2% ( 0.34) | 59.8% ( -0.34) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.22) | 32.17% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( 0.25) | 68.66% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.8% |
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