SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Granada |
28.66% ( 1.07) | 28.71% ( -0.06) | 42.63% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 44% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.9% ( 0.61) | 62.09% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.19% ( 0.45) | 81.8% ( -0.45) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.86% ( 1.23) | 38.14% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.09% ( 1.16) | 74.9% ( -1.17) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.26) | 28.86% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% ( -0.32) | 64.72% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.65% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.32)1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 42.62% |
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