Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
0) 
-0.02) 
