SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
63.29% ( -0.01) | 18.72% ( 0) | 17.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.01) | 30.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.63% ( -0.01) | 52.37% ( 0.01) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.59% ( -0.01) | 9.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.35% ( -0.01) | 31.65% ( 0.01) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0) | 30.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( -0.01) | 66.38% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.26% 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.29% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.72% | 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.27% 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.55% Total : 17.99% |
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