SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.6% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (7.91%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
49.4% ( -0.34) | 25.6% ( 0.04) | 24.99% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.9% ( 0.1) | 53.1% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.32% ( 0.09) | 74.68% ( -0.08) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( -0.1) | 21.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( -0.16) | 54.57% ( 0.17) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( 0.33) | 36.29% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( 0.33) | 73.07% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 24.99% |
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