Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
