Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Heidenheim in this match.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
