Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.
0.08) 
-0.01) 
