Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
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