Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.04) 
