Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
