Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.