Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
