SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.87%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
25.4% ( -0.77) | 20.72% ( -0.13) | 53.87% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 67.18% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.1) | 30.72% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.12) | 52.05% ( 0.12) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( -0.57) | 23.91% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( -0.82) | 58.12% ( 0.83) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.28% ( 0.22) | 11.71% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.16% ( 0.47) | 36.84% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.87% |
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