SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
43.37% ( -0.08) | 23.77% ( -0.08) | 32.85% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.45) | 40.62% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.46) | 63.01% ( -0.46) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( 0.15) | 19.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( 0.25) | 50.59% ( -0.25) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.31) | 24.24% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 0.43) | 58.6% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.85% |
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