Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
1.82) 
-0.05) 
