SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Elversberg |
47.8% ( 1.82) | 23.55% ( -0.05) | 28.65% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.79) | 41.7% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.8) | 64.1% ( 0.8) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( 0.4) | 17.65% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( 0.7) | 48.27% ( -0.7) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( -1.56) | 27.43% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% ( -2.07) | 62.91% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.65% |
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