SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
30.57% ( 0.07) | 22.42% ( 0.04) | 47.02% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 65.21% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( -0.14) | 35.08% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.93% ( -0.16) | 57.07% ( 0.16) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.03) | 22.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0.04) | 56.64% ( 0.04) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( -0.09) | 15.42% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.75% ( -0.17) | 44.25% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.57% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.02% |
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