SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | SC Paderborn |
49.71% ( -0.15) | 22.68% ( -0) | 27.61% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.05% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.13) | 38.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.4% ( 0.14) | 60.6% ( -0.14) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0) | 15.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -0) | 44.73% ( 0.01) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.17) | 26.41% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( 0.23) | 61.58% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | SC Paderborn |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 49.71% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.61% |
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