SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 21.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Elversberg |
56.91% ( 1.5) | 21.37% ( -0.12) | 21.71% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.88% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.19) | 38.17% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.55% ( -1.28) | 60.45% ( 1.27) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.06) | 13.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.88% ( 0.12) | 40.11% ( -0.12) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -1.86) | 30.94% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( -2.24) | 67.23% ( 2.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.5)1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.76% Total : 21.71% |
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