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PL
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
WB

SC Paderborn
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Michel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ducksch (30')
Njinmah (81'), Njinmah (84'), Malatini (90+4'), Bittencourt (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: SC Paderborn 2-1 Werder Bremen

Given Werder Bremen's recent history of being knocked out of the DFB-Pokal by lower-league opposition, it would not be surprising if they were eliminated by Paderborn on Wednesday. Paderborn will no doubt have to surrender possession in order to secure victory, but they will be confident considering their previous win against the hosts in 2022-23. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 1-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
53.08% (0.411 0.41) 21.22% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 25.68% (-0.371 -0.37)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.07% (-0.158 -0.16)32.93% (0.15799999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.36% (-0.181 -0.18)54.64% (0.181 0.18)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.31% (0.066999999999993 0.07)12.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.12% (0.14100000000001 0.14)38.87% (-0.141 -0.14)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.34 -0.34)24.9% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)59.52% (0.476 0.48)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 53.09%
    Werder Bremen 25.69%
    Draw 21.23%
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 53.09%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.23%
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 25.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 SC Paderborn
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 3-0 SC Paderborn
Saturday, October 19 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-0 Jahn
Friday, October 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hamburger SV 2-2 SC Paderborn
Saturday, September 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 2-1 Hannover
Friday, September 20 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 3-3 SC Paderborn
Friday, September 13 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-5 Bayern
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


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