SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
38.39% ( 0.19) | 23.91% ( 0.08) | 37.7% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.41) | 40.4% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( -0.42) | 62.78% ( 0.42) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.09) | 21.19% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( -0.14) | 54.08% ( 0.14) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0.31) | 21.54% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% ( -0.48) | 54.6% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.7% |
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