Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
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