SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elversberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
48.39% ( 0.33) | 23.55% ( -0.07) | 28.05% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.3% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.13) | 42.11% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.49% ( 0.13) | 64.52% ( -0.13) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% ( 0.18) | 17.58% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.85% ( 0.3) | 48.15% ( -0.3) |
| VfL Osnabruck Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.11) | 28.05% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -0.15) | 63.71% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | VfL Osnabruck |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.83% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.05% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
