SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Elversberg |
61.93% ( 1.03) | 19.47% ( -0.33) | 18.6% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.34% ( 0.44) | 33.66% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0.5) | 55.48% ( -0.5) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.49% ( 0.39) | 10.51% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.82% ( 0.88) | 34.18% ( -0.88) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0.42) | 31.25% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( -0.5) | 67.6% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 61.93% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.43% Total : 18.6% |
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