SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Nuremberg |
36.69% ( -0.07) | 23.39% ( -0.03) | 39.92% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.12) | 37.89% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( 0.13) | 60.14% ( -0.13) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0.02) | 20.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( 0.03) | 53.64% ( -0.03) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.09) | 19.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( 0.16) | 51.21% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 39.92% |
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