SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 58.39%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 21.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Elversberg |
58.39% ( 0.54) | 20.07% ( -0.14) | 21.54% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.95% ( 0.13) | 32.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.37% ( 0.15) | 53.63% ( -0.15) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.07% ( 0.18) | 10.93% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.88% ( 0.4) | 35.12% ( -0.4) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.26) | 27.58% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.34) | 63.11% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 58.39% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.55% Total : 21.54% |
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