Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.