Ulm
2 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Ruhle (37'), Higl (89')
Geyer (17'), Reichert (43'), Beck (76'), Sapina (86'), Fink (90+1'), Higl (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gnjatic (57'), Ballas (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between SSV Ulm and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.

Result
SSV Ulm	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
41.8%	22.7%	35.49%

Both teams to score 66.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.38%

34.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.44%

56.56%

SSV Ulm Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49%

47.51%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97%

20.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76%

52.24%

Score Analysis

SSV Ulm 41.8%

Erzgebirge Aue 35.49%

Draw 22.7%

SSV Ulm	Draw	Erzgebirge Aue
2-1 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 6.07% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 2.17% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 7.84% 0-1 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.49%