Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.