Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.